How To Manual To End Iran's Regime With An Oil Blockade
Note: Based on recent events at the time of this posting, the US might be about to launch a massive attack on Iran. So some of this could quickly become out of date, but the goal here is to keep this as relevant as possible, and to provide guidance on the easiest ways to remove the regime and save lives.
It’s a bit of a problem to find a solution to defeat and completely eliminating the mass murdering terrorist regime in Iran. Consider the many requirements:
1. The solution has to actually eliminate the regime and replace it with a free democratic Iran. So any solution that crushes the regime but allows it to survive (Israel-Iran 2025 war style) doesn’t work.
2. The solution also has to minimize casualties for civilians in Iran along with any troops who help liberate them.
3. The solution also has to limit the physical damage to Iran as much as possible so that there won’t be huge bills for reconstruction.
4. The solution itself should also not cost a lot either.
Fortunately, the US and allies have a relatively easy solution that can be customized based on what happens in Iran and what the regime’s responses are. This solution has been recently tested with Cuba and Venezuela and is surprisingly effective. In a word, blockade (in international law it could be called a “quarantine” but regular people call it a blockade).
While most of the world has focused on the capture of Maduro and the fact most of his regime is still intact and in control of Venezuela, the US has been blocking the export of oil from Venezuela and the importation of oil to Cuba for over a month and a half. This is devastating both countries’ regimes and if continued might lead to the downfall of both regimes without any other action being taken. After all, what’s the point of working for the security services that oppress peaceful protesters if you’re not going to get paid and you’re starving too? If necessary, other actions can be taken such as attacking regime leaders and security forces who attack peaceful protesters and destroying critical infrastructure.
It’s a good idea for the US to blockade Iran’s oil for a few reasons.
1. The first is because the US can. The US has 11 carrier strike groups. They are only using 1 to blockade Cuba and Venezuela. That means the US can literally do 10 more blockades around the world. (This is a bit of an exaggeration, but the US definitely has the resources to do this elsewhere.) The US has currently deployed another carrier nearby Iran.
2. The next reason is because such a blockade will bankrupt the regime and end it. Unlike Venezuela and Cuba, Iran has peaceful protesters who are actually fighting the government to take control. The government has only survived because they are mass murdering a lot of people. This murdering requires two things:
A) Weapons
B) People who will use those weapons.
The Iranian government has to have the money to pay their security forces and pay for the weapons that they use. Iran doesn’t have enough money to run the country so they print money which caused the inflation that caused the protests. Therefore they can’t do quantitative easing or deficit spending. They only survive by selling oil for goods that they import that help the country survive. The moment that money is gone the government will either have to print more money to maintain the amount of spending that they are currently doing which might cause the Iranian people to just stop using currency altogether and switch to bartering, or they ‘d have to cut spending which would further collapse their economy. This problem is even worse because Iran can’t replace essential goods that they need to keep their economy going. Other countries won’t accept worthless Iranian currency. At that point Iran’s economy collapses, the regime can’t build or maintain weapons, and can’t pay, arm, and feed security forces. It’s over because as less and less people are willing to fight the protesters, they have less and less weapons and equipment to do so. It’s very likely that regime insiders who won’t be getting paid will defect and cut deals and spy on the regime. This makes getting rid of the regime even easier. Also at this stage attacks on regime leaders or security forces or some other steps can help finish the job. If you’re wondering about the Iranian nuclear program, what nuclear program? At that point they can’t afford anything including nukes. (North Korea could afford them because they didn’t have a massive uprising and they received massive help over their borders from China and Russia.) Handling the oil is simple. Sell the oil on world markets so there isn’t a spike in the price of oil and use it to pay for the blockade. (If the money is somehow misused as some people have alleged with the Venezuelan oil money, then let anti corruption investigators handle that.)
The blockade is perfect as proven by Venezuela and Cuba, but the strategy has to be able to handle all scenarios. These are these scenarios that the US could be faced with:
1. Iran does nothing and takes it like a bitch.
2. Iran attempts to escort ships through the blockade.
3. Iran attacks the blockading ships and planes and other assets directly (including with booby trapped ships).
4. Iran attacks elsewhere outside Iran.
5. Iran attacks their own people even more.
Here’s how to handle each scenario:
1. If the blockade ain’t broke don’t fix it.
2. If Iran attempts to escort ships through the blockade. The US can use long range weapons like drones and missiles and torpedoes to attack the ships and their escorts. This helps maintain the blockade and hopefully stop the US from having to take more powerful measures that could cause a lot of damage and Iran that might be expensive to rebuild.
3, 4, 5. Such measures can include attacks on Iranian leaders and security forces and other special targets that US intelligence might have but regular people on the Internet don’t. However, some easy targets that destroy the regime include in order of most damaging to the regime while at the same being easiest to fix when they are defeated:
A) Oil refineries
B) Oil and gas port facilities
C) Oil and gas transport infrastructure
Oil refineries are the best to attack because they are a choke point, and if they are destroyed and the regime falls Iran can just export crude oil to other countries that will refine it and send it back Until reconstruction is complete. They are the most important choke point because they are big easy to hit targets (both in their large physical size and in the limited number of them in the country). Once destroyed the regime will run out of Refined oil products for transportation, power generation, and won’t be able to sell them for profit. Parts of the Iranian economy that depend on driving like people driving to work or goods being delivered by trucks will collapse. Destroying oil and gas port facilities next will mean that they can’t load tankers and sell oil and gas anymore via ship so you won’t even really need a naval blockade. The only problem with this is that it will be expensive to reconstruct and Iran won’t be able to sell oil and gas on international markets to pay for Iran’s reconstruction and to help keep prices low around the world. If both A and B targets are destroyed Iran’s economy is probably out of commission already but destroying Iran’s oil and gas transport infrastructure means oil and gas can’t get moved around the country so it will be hard for them to transport anything and hard to generate electricity Or sell oil and gas which they do through neighboring countries (This is a relatively small scale industry especially compared to the oil that is with tankers). It will probably be best to destroy 1 or 2 targets of each type as a warning to Iran and if they persist then destroy every target for that letter. Then move on to the next letter in the sequence of A, B, C.
This is simple and flexible plan to destroy the Iranian regime with minimal risk, loss of life, and infrastructure damage. Certainly loss of life and infrastructure damage can happen based on Iran’s response. However in those situations it will be far worse for them then the US and allies. This strategy has already proven with Venezuela and Cuba and when Trump destroys Iranian mass murdering regime, and saves millions of innocent Iranian lives, he will definitely have earned the Nobel Peace Prize.
Moral GPS, for a world where moral compasses aren't enough, and kids can't read a map. Not legal, financial, or any kind of advice. For entertainment purposes only.